Clayface won the weekend box office, but You Can See Everything has the momentum. The horror newcomer led the October 23–25, 2026 domestic chart with an estimated $24 million. The documentary climbed to $19.5 million as its release expanded, while last weekend’s winner, Street Fighter, suffered a steep second-weekend drop.
This report covers Friday through Sunday in the United States and Canada. Figures were checked early Monday, October 26, and remain Sunday estimates, not finalized actuals. Box Office Mojo’s actual-results fields for the top ten were still blank at verification.
The weekend box office top ten
| Rank | Film | Weekend gross |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clayface | $24,000,000 |
| 2 | You Can See Everything | $19,500,000 |
| 3 | Wildwood | $11,600,000 |
| 4 | Street Fighter | $8,600,000 |
| 5 | Wicker | $5,750,000 |
| 6 | HYBE Cine Fest 2026 | $4,500,000 |
| 7 | Other Mommy | $3,850,000 |
| 8 | Sense and Sensibility | $3,400,000 |
| 9 | Whalefall | $3,200,000 |
| 10 | Verity | $3,063,056 |
Source: Box Office Mojo’s dated estimate-versus-actual chart. The table consistently uses this chart; the graphic rounds Verity to $3.063 million.
Cross-check: The Numbers’ October 23 chart lists Wildwood at $11 million and does not include HYBE Cine Fest 2026, placing Resident Evil tenth instead. These are differences between the services, not figures to average or combine into a new ranking.
The winners: first place and a stronger second act
Clayface gets the ranking crown, though its performance against expectations is mixed. Boxoffice Pro’s October 21 preview forecast $25 million–$30 million. Box Office Theory’s same-day forecast was more cautious at $15 million–$23 million. The $24 million estimate misses one range and exceeds the other. Calling it an across-the-board surprise hit would overstate the evidence.
You Can See Everything is the clearer momentum winner. Mojo’s weekend comparison shows a 25% increase and 1,800 additional theaters, taking its footprint to 2,655 locations. Its $19.5 million falls near the upper end of Boxoffice Pro’s $15 million–$20 million forecast.
Expansion helped that rise, so it should not be mistaken for a 25% increase at the same set of cinemas. Still, growth in total receipts is an encouraging second-weekend result. The next question is whether demand holds after the wider release has reached its first wave of viewers.
Wildwood also beats a documented benchmark: its $11.6 million estimate is above Box Office Theory’s $4.5 million–$9.5 million range. Wicker, at $5.75 million, lands within that forecaster’s $4.5 million–$8.5 million range. One is an upside surprise against that forecast; the other is broadly in line.
The losers: Street Fighter’s fall and Klara’s weak start
Street Fighter drops 72.1% to $8.6 million on Mojo’s comparison. That is the sharpest decline among the top-ten holdovers, even though it stays inside the low end of Boxoffice Pro’s $8 million–$13 million prediction. Fourth place is less revealing than how much of its opening business disappeared.
Klara and the Sun is the clearest new-release disappointment against the cited forecasts. Its estimated $725,000 opening is below Box Office Theory’s $1.5 million–$3.5 million range. A low opening does not establish the final financial loss, but it leaves the film with ground to make up.
These winner-and-loser judgments describe theatrical momentum and performance against published expectations, not artistic merit or final profitability. Studios do not keep every dollar of ticket sales, and a full financial assessment also needs costs and revenue beyond this domestic weekend.
How last week’s prediction held up
Our previous column picked Clayface for first place. That call was right, but its $24 million start came below our $27.5 million working midpoint. We were too optimistic about Street Fighter’s hold and too cautious about You Can See Everything: the former fell beyond our illustrative decline range, while the latter grew rather than staying flat or falling. Those were editorial scenarios, not promises, and the new results change this week’s outlook.
Upcoming movies: October 30–November 1
The next weekend offers new arrivals and a notable expansion. These October 30 dates are confirmed by the films’ distributors or official websites:
- The Mongoose: Samuel Goldwyn Films confirms October 30. Liam Neeson plays a wrongly accused war hero caught in a cross-country chase, directed by Mark Vanselow.
- The Only Living Pickpocket in New York: Sony confirms a nationwide expansion October 30, after the October 23 New York and Los Angeles opening. Noah Segan directs John Turturro as an aging thief.
- Everest: The Other Side: Disney lists October 30 for the IMAX-made mountaineering documentary from Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi and Jimmy Chin.
- Christmas at the Kringles: The official film website lists an October 30 theatrical opening.
A national date does not guarantee a booking in every Mohawk Valley theater. Check the cinema’s current showtimes, especially for documentary and specialty releases.
Our new-release pick to watch is The Only Living Pickpocket in New York. Its move beyond New York and Los Angeles gives us a clear test of whether a smaller launch can find a broader audience. This is an editorial selection, not a claim that it leads an audience poll or advance-ticket-sales chart.
Our prediction: the documentary has a path to No. 1
You Can See Everything is our tentative pick to lead October 30–November 1. The reasoning is straightforward: a gentler decline for the expanding documentary could put it ahead of Clayface after the horror film’s opening rush. A strong new arrival or a better-than-assumed Clayface hold could overturn that call.
| Film | Assumed weekend decline | Calculated weekend range |
|---|---|---|
| You Can See Everything | 25%–40% | $11.7 million–$14.6 million |
| Clayface | 50%–65% | $8.4 million–$12.0 million |
| Wildwood | 25%–40% | $7.0 million–$8.7 million |
Each range multiplies the current weekend estimate by the share retained after an assumed decline, with results rounded to one decimal place. The assumptions are ours; they are not measured audience retention. We are testing a steadier documentary and animation hold against a more front-loaded horror opening. The overlapping ranges make the order uncertain.
We did not verify a current published dollar forecast for the October 30 newcomers, so we are not assigning them invented tracking figures. The Mongoose is a new action option to watch, but its opening and the scale of the other releases remain important unknowns.
Our projected momentum winner is You Can See Everything. Clayface is at risk of surrendering the crown, while Street Fighter needs a much smaller decline to change the story of its run. Watch the documentary’s retention most closely: another strong result would make its second-weekend expansion look like the beginning of a longer run rather than a one-week surge.
Sources and estimates checked October 26, 2026. Published forecasts are attributed above; next-weekend scenarios and picks are this column’s analysis. Figures may be revised when actuals arrive.
