UTICA, N.Y. — After the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, President Barack Obama now leads in almost every major poll. The leads vary from 2 to 6 points, but there is no doubt that he emerged from the convention with a bounce. For my part, I really didn’t think this would be a big bounce year, but my own poll, done by JZ Analytics, has Obama leading former Governor Mitt Romney 48% to 42%. That poll of 1019 likely voters nationwide reveals how close the President is coming to solidifying key portions of his base – but it also shows the work that remains to be done by each candidate if they hope to win on November 6.

I am mainly on the road giving speeches and this past week the most frequent question was whether or not the “election is already over”. Of course, it is not over. There is a lot of campaigning to go, lots of money, and as we are presently witnessing, lots of global uncertainty that can insinuate itself into the situation. I just want to review what my most recent poll shows about the key demographics I am watching.

President Barack Obama is about where he needs to be among several key groups: Democrats (he leads 87% to 5%), 30-49 year olds (53% to 38%), 50-64 year olds (47% to 43%), Hispanics (71% to 21%), African Americans (87% to 2%), Catholics (47% to 43%), and single voters (59% to 27%). He even is outperforming his 2008 showing among some conservative-leaning groups: Weekly Wal-Mart Shoppers (45% to Romney’s 48%), Evangelicals (32% to Romney’s 57%), NASCAR Fans (44% to 43%), and married voters (43% to Romney’s 48%).

The President leads but is under-performing among 18-29 year olds (53% to 36%), a group that gave him 66% of their vote in 2008, and the Creative Class (53% to 39%)…

Full News Release available at – http://www.jzanalytics.com

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